Question 1: What if everyone in Belgium got COVID19 (without flooding the healthcare system)?
- Of all remaining years to live of all Belgians presently alive (estimated based on age alone), 0.25% would be lost (i.e. 1 year in 400).
- The mean number of years of life lost per person in Belgium would be 0.1 (1 month and a quarter).
- The mean number of years of life lost per COVID19 fatality would be 8.7.
Question 2: What if pandemics such as COVID19 were the new normal?
- Life expectancy in Belgium would drop by 6.2 years, bringing it down to what we had in 1989.
- Looking back, was saving 0.1 years of life lived per person worth our efforts?
- Would we rather live our whole life as we did in the past year to live 6.2 years longer and avoid possible long-COVID?
- How can one safeguard healthcare in practice?
- We should account for lower life expectancy of people most at risk.
- How to quantify and model the effects of long-COVID?
- What are the effects on life expectancy & quality of lockdowns & other measures?